Upcoming Trends in World Poultry

In the year 2012, the projected expansion of the worldwide meat production is 2 percent, thus taking the total figure to 302 million metric tons. Most of the production is going to come from Asia, especially from Russia, China, India, Turkey and Japan according to the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations. According to a number of poultry analysts and researchers, the worldwide markets for poultry are going to grow on an annual rate of 5 % in almost all of the countries. All the variations in terms of the capital growth are also going to see a major change in the amounts that are consumed on a yearly basis. An important thing to note here is the fact that the most development would be seen in the developing countries in comparison to the developed countries. One reason for thing being the environmental conditions in the developing countries and some of the developed Asian countries are well suited for poultry farming. Japan is also now increasing the use of various techniques and measures in order to increase the poultry output, all because till now it has been unable to properly meet its meat consumption needs. According to a number of different sources, the top 5 poultry producing countries are:

• United States
• China
• Russia
• Brazil
• India

On a global rate, production of all the primary poultry products has been increasing on a rapid pace. This is the clear cut reflection of the increase in the meat demands and it also comes to reflect the consumption patterns and how they are changing in the year 2012 and for the upcoming years. The consumers now also demand the meat at a low price due to which all these countries are paying attention to increase the production and efficiency as stated by various reports published by the world poultry industries. The increase in the production of chicken meat in the world has been nearly 3.8 percent. All these statistics do not take into account the value that has been added into these poultry products, whether in terms of food processing or the formation of more sophisticated procedures for processing.

According to a number of surveys and economic analysis of the markets, the largest increases in terms of chicken meat production have been seen in Russia, India, China and Brazil. From the year 2000 to 2008, the output in terms of chicken production rose from 8 million to 8.9 million ton. From 2008 onwards, the growth has not been so agile, all because of the great depression and recession in almost all of the countries. The recession has also posed a number of challenges for the poultry sectors all over the world.  But now as the world is moving towards the stage of economic stability, new trends in the poultry meat production are likely to emerge more rapidly. In comparison to Europe, more than half of the chicken meat production came from Russia which is nearly 1.24 million tons. This indeed reflects some high and profitable investment opportunities in the countries, especially in Russia and India. The share of Europe in terms of the worldwide global meat production has fallen from 16 percent to 15.3 percent. Furthermore, the capital required for investment would also be less than the one required for starting a poultry meat business in the United States.

In order to provide a boost and all sorts of encouragement to the farmers and all other individuals involved in the sector, the governments have offered various compensations and subsidies for the purpose of increasing the export. This step is also going to play a vital role in order to meet the demand and supply of poultry meat inside and outside the countries.

Below is the table for chicken meat production in Europe in tons:

Russian Federation	2500
UK	1265
Spain	1070
France	940
Poland	900
Ukraine	850
Italy	790
Germany	750

All the above mentioned figures are till the year 2010. The president of the Russian federation, Vladimir Putin has also signed the Food Security Doctrine, in which he has stated that country is going to increase its food self-efficiency to 85 %.

For Asia, exports of Frozen/Chicken Meat in tons:

China, Hong Kong SAR	134,089
China, MACAO SAR	461,161
Turkey	114,166

The fall in:

In terms of the important market purchasing, Vietnam, China, Thailand and Turkey have been quite active. But the leading importer of the chicken and broiler meat in the region is Japan with nearly 900,000 tons imported in 2011.

Mass Issues and Uncertainties

Animal diseases and various outbreaks is also one of the major problems faced by the top 5 poultry meat producing countries, which may also come to  increase the cost of production. They are also going to effectuate the international and domestic markets pretty heavily. So, it now evident that the worldwide meat markets are really fragmented due to the limits sanitary conditions.

Upcoming Trends in World Poultry: Eggs and Layers 2012

Global egg production has expanded rapidly in the past few years. In comparison the 1970, the output has been estimated to have tripled. In the year 1970, the output was nearly 20 million tons, but for the year 2007, it rose to 60 million tons for the whole world. A number of analysts and experts from the International Egg Commission have stated that the new trends and some large production scales would be seen in the years that follow 2012. According to a number of surveys, there are nearly 4.93 billion egg laying hens in the world, out of which the most of them are found in Asia. Around 800-1000 million hens are found in China, 276 million in the United States, 380 million in Europe, 133 million in India and 115 million hens in Mexico. In the year 2012, more than 60 million tons are expected to be produced all over the world.

Egg Production

China is by far the largest importer and exporter when it comes to eggs and layers. Much of the production is consumed within the country. The US is on the second number in terms of the world’s largest egg producers. An important point to note here is the fact that there is a major difference in the consumer preferences in both of the countries which indeed comes to influence the capital generated from this production, as asserted by various economic analysis of the poultry markets and poultry egg business. The egg  production in the United States was around 7.55 billion till the September 2012 with nearly 338 million layers according to the various reports released by USDA. Furthermore, the demand and supply in the most of the leading egg production countries is also very high, with most of the production consumed inside the countries. Although China and USA have been better able to meet the challenges to the poultry sector, but India and some other developing countries have not been able to do so. In the start of summer 2012, the poultry production had dropped significantly, which caused an increase in the prices. Although the decrease in the weight of the eggs and layers is normal in summer, but the change seen in India was much more than the normal.  A rise in the prices of eggs has also been seen in China, USA, Japan and Mexico all because of the various diseases, changes in weather and the rising costs of all the various feed ingredients and nutriments. The inflation in the regions have been expected to remain around 2.5 % for the last quarter of 2012.

Top 5 Egg Producing and Trading Countries

• China
• USA
• India
• Japan
• Mexico

In the year 2011, only 5  of  these 5 countries had provided the 55 % of the production, export and trade of eggs. In total, they had produced nearly 64 metric tons of eggs. The same can also be said for the year 2012. According to the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, various projections show that the all the countries of the world are going to produce nearly 70.4 million metric tons of eggs in 2015 and 89.9 in the year 2030, out of which most of the contribution is going to come from the developing countries, probably Asian. These trends also reflect numerous investment opportunities in these countries. On an annual pace, India comes to produce 2.86 million metric tons of eggs. The analysts and poultry analysts also assert that the egg production is also going to increase in Brazil which also happens to be in the top 10 countries in poultry production.

Egg Production in Europe Falls

It is a fact that Europe has a lower population for egg laying hens, which indeed shows lower investment opportunities in the region. The production forecast is going to be lower by 1 % in comparison to the year 2011. In the region, the largest egg producers are Germany, Spain, France, Italy and UK. According to the Russian Prime Minister of the agricultural sector, the egg production is going to cross the 41.9 billion mark in the year 2012. Not to forget that the egg production in Russia has been increasing since the past few years. It is due to the fall of egg production in Europe, the countries are now forced to increase the imports of eggs in order to meet the increasing demands of the consumers.